Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-dnltx Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-19T22:21:10.871Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Robust Model Selection and M-Estimation

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 February 2009

José A.F. Machado
Affiliation:
Universidade Nova de Lisboa

Abstract

This paper studies the qualitative robustness properties of the Schwarz information criterion (SIC) based on objective functions defining M-estimators. A definition of qualitative robustness appropriate for model selection is provided and it is shown that the crucial restriction needed to achieve robustness in model selection is the uniform boundedness of the objective function. In the process, the asymptotic performance of the SIC for general M-estimators is also studied. The paper concludes with a Monte Carlo study of the finite sample behavior of the SIC for different specifications of the sample objective function.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1993

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

1.Akaike, H.A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Transaction on Automatic Control AC-19 (1974): 716723.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
2.Billingsley, P.Convergence of Probability Measures. New York: Wiley, 1968.Google Scholar
3.Becker, R.A. & Chambers, J.M.. S: An Interactive Environment for Data Analysis and Graphics. Belmonte, CA: Wadsworth, 1984.Google Scholar
4.Geweke, J. & Meese, R.. Estimating regression models of finite but unknown order. International Economic Review 22 (1981): 5570.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
5.Hampel, F.R., Ronchetti, E.M., Rousseeuw, P.J. & Stahel, W.A.. Robust Statistics: The Approach Based on Influence Functions. New York: Wiley, 1986.Google Scholar
6.Hildenbrand, W.Core and Equilibria of a Large Scale Economy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1974.Google Scholar
7.Huber, P.J.The behavior of maximum-likelihood estimates under nonstandard conditions. Proceedings of the Fifth Berkeley Symposium 1 (1967): 221233.Google Scholar
8.Huber, P.J.Robust Statistical Procedures. Philadelphia: SIAM, 1977.Google Scholar
9.Huber, P.J.Robust Statistics. New York: Wiley, 1981.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
10.Jureckova, J. & Sen, P.K.. On adaptive scale-equivariant M-estimators. Statistics & Decisions, Supplement 1 (1984): 3146.Google Scholar
11.Koenker, R.W. & Bassett, G.. Regression quantiles. Econometrica 46 (1978): 3350.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
12.Machado, J.A.F. Model selection: Consistency and robustness properties of the Schwarz information criterion for generalized M-estimation. Ph.D. thesis, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, 1989.Google Scholar
13.Martin, R.D. Robust estimation of autoregressive models. In Brillinger, D.R. & Tiao, G.C. (eds.), Directions in Time Series, pp. 228262. Hayward, CA: Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 1980.Google Scholar
14.Ostroy, T.M. & Zame, W.R.. Non-atomic economics and the boundaries of perfect competition. Unpublished manuscript, 1987.Google Scholar
15.Phillips, P.C.B. & Ploberger, W.. Posterior odds testing for a unit root with data-based model selection. Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper no. 1017, 1992.Google Scholar
16.Poskitt, D.S. & Tremayne, A.R.. On the posterior odds in time series models. Biometrika 70 (1983): 159162.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
17.Ronchetti, E.Robust model selection in regression. Statistics and Probability Letters 3 (1985): 2123.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
18.Royden, H.L.Real Analysis. New York: Macmillan, 1988.Google Scholar
19.Schwarz, G.Estimating the dimension of a model. Annals of Statistics 6 (1978): 461464.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
20.Stout, W.Almost Sure Convergence. New York: Academic Press, 1974.Google Scholar
21.Vuong, Q.H.Likelihood ratio tests for model selection and non-nested hypothesis. Econometrica 57 (1989): 307333.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
22.White, H.Asymptotic Theory for Econometricians. Orlando, FL: Academic Press, 1984.Google Scholar
23.White, H. Estimation, inference, and specification analysis. Unpublished manuscript, 1988.Google Scholar