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The “Peer-Effect” in Counterterrorist Policies

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 January 2014

Eric Neumayer
Affiliation:
London School of Economicsand the Centre for the Study of Civil War, International Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO). E-mail: e.neumayer@lse.ac.uk
Thomas Plümper
Affiliation:
University of Essex, UK, and Associate of theInternational Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO). E-mail: tpluem@essex.ac.uk
Mariaelisa Epifanio
Affiliation:
Centre for Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy, University of Warwick, UK. E-mail: m.epifanio@warwick.ac.uk
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Abstract

Existing accounts posit that defensively oriented counterterrorist policies create negative externalities and result in regulatory competition that induces governments to increasingly tighten their policies. We argue that rather than causing an unconditional global “race to the top,” spatial dependence in counterterrorist policies is limited to within groups of countries exposed to a similar level of threat from international terrorism. Countries strongly differ in their propensity to become the target of an international terror attack. Governments can safely ignore counterterrorist policies enacted by countries outside their “peer group,” but they must pay attention to measures undertaken by their peers. We test several predictions derived from our theory in an empirical analysis of counterterrorist regulations in twenty Western developed-country democracies over the period 2001 to 2008.

Type
Research Note
Copyright
Copyright © The IO Foundation 2014 

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