Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-sxzjt Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-18T08:30:51.058Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Solar cycles in global temperatures

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 November 2006

T. V. Kuznetsova
Affiliation:
IZMIRAN, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow region, Troitsk, 142190, Russia email: tvkuz@izmiran.ru
L. B. Tsirulnik
Affiliation:
IZMIRAN, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow region, Troitsk, 142190, Russia email: tvkuz@izmiran.ru
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

We study variations of solar activity (sunspot numbers W) and anomaly of global temperature (GT) to detect a connection of their time variations on different time scales (including trends) to understand cause of global warming. We use a method of non-linear spectral analysis that is capable of making a self-consistent selection of trends, non-stationary oscillations and identifiing time intervals of development of non-linear processes (appearence of oscillations of large amplitude) in data. Analysis shows that trends of both spectra contribute main part to the data changes and show correlated increasing of W and GT during the studied interval. Cause of Maunder Minimum and present global warming is regime change (from epoch of damping to epoch of building up) of the powerfull oscillations at T = 1000 yr. from the GT spectrum. Besides, time changes of GT and W has different type of connection in different range of periods T: non-stationary oscillations from the spectra of W and GT at T = 10 yr. and T = 30 yr. vary in opposite phase, at T = 22 yr. vary in phase. The latter means different influence of odd and even 11-yr solar cycles on anomaly of GT (warming and cooling accordingly).

Type
Contributed Papers
Copyright
© 2006 International Astronomical Union