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Predicting State-Wide Votes on Ballot Initiatives to Ban Battery Cages and Gestation Crates

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 January 2015

Katie Smithson
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics at, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma
Max Corbin
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics at, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma
Jayson L. Lusk
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics at, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma
F. Bailey Norwood
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics at, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma
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Abstract

After California voters decided in a state initiative to ban gestation crates and battery cages, some are asking whether other states will host similar initiatives and if they will pass. This study addresses this question by using voting data in California to predict how voters in other states would respond to a similar initiative. Results suggest that a number of states allow such initiatives and possess a demographic profile favorable to the initiative's passage. However, because these states host only a small portion of the livestock population, the impact of such initiatives on the well-being of farm animals is questionable.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Southern Agricultural Economics Association 2014

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