Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-vvkck Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-26T22:17:18.744Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Production-based versus consumption-based emission targets: implications for developing and developed economies

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 December 2013

Madanmohan Ghosh
Affiliation:
Analysis and Modeling Division, Environment Canada, 10 Wellington Street, Gatineau, Quebec, K1A 0H3, Canada. E-mail: madanmohan.ghosh@ec.gc.ca
Manmohan Agarwal
Affiliation:
Centre for International Governance Innovation, Canada. E-mail: magarwal@cigionline.org

Abstract

This paper evaluates how the marginal abatement cost (MAC) and the efficiency cost of policies will change at the regional and global level if reduction targets are based on consumption-based emissions (CBEs) rather than on production-based emissions (PBEs). Using a CGE model, this paper finds that the MAC of CBEs is in general higher than that of PBEs, mainly due to limited substitution possibilities between energy and non-energy goods in final consumption compared to those in the choice of inputs in production activities under PBEs. Interestingly, when policies such as border carbon adjustments (BCAs) are introduced to reduce CBEs, net importers of emissions are better off, while net exporters of emissions are worse off in this approach compared to the PBEs target. If border tariffs are not allowed, the CBEs target turns out to be worse both for net importers and exporters of emissions.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2013 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Armington, P.S. (1969), ‘A theory of demand for products distinguished by place of production’, International Monetary Fund Staff Papers 16: 159176.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Asselt, H. van and Biermann, F. (2007), ‘European emissions trading and the international competitiveness of energy-intensive industries: a legal and political evaluation of possible supporting measures’, Energy Policy 35(1): 497507.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Atkinson, G., Hamilton, K., Ruta, G., and Van Der Mensbrugghe, D. (2011), ‘Trade in “virtual carbon”: empirical results and implications for policy’, Global Environmental Change 21: 563574.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Babiker, M. and Rutherford, T. (2005), ‘The economic effects of border measures in subglobal climate agreements’, Energy Journal 26: 4.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Biermann, F. and Brohm, R. (2005), ‘Implementing the Kyoto Protocol without the USA: the strategic role of energy tax adjustments at the border’, Climate Policy 4(3): 289302.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Böhringer, C. and Rutherford, T.F. (2010), ‘The costs of compliance: a CGE assessment of Canada's policy options under the Kyoto Protocol’, The World Economy 33(2): 177211.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Böhringer, C. and Rutherford, T.F. (2011), ‘General equilibrium analysis based on GTAP in GAMS: method, data and application’, Technical Report, University of Oldenburg and ETH Zürich.Google Scholar
Böhringer, C., Löschel, A., and Rutherford, T.F. (2006), ‘Efficiency gains from “What”-flexibility in climate policy: an integrated CGE assessment’, Energy Journal Special Issue on Multigas Mitigation and Climate Policy, pp. 405424.Google Scholar
Böhringer, C., Carbone, J.C., and Rutherford, T.F. (2011), ‘Embodied carbon tariffs’, Oldenburg Discussion Paper in Economics No. V-340-11, Oldenburg.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brewer, T. (2008), ‘US climate policy - trade policy intersections, current status, prospects and implications for carbon leakage’, Presentation to the Climate Strategies Carbon Leakage Workshop, 4 February, Paris.Google Scholar
Brooke, A., Kendrick, D., and Meeraus, A. (1996), GAMS: A User's Guide, Washington, DC: GAMS Development Corporation.Google Scholar
Committee for Economic Development of Australia (2009), ‘Preliminary economic modelling of a national consumption-based approach to greenhouse gas emission abatement policy’, Access Economics, Australia.Google Scholar
Copeland, B.R. and Taylor, M.S. (2004) ‘Trade, growth, and the environment’, Journal of Economic Literature 42(1):771.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
de Cendra, J. (2006), ‘Can emissions trading schemes be coupled with border tax adjustments? An analysis vis-à-vis WTO law’, Review of European Community & International Environmental Law 15(2):131145.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dirkse, S. and Ferris, M. (1995), ‘The PATH Solver: a non-monotone stabilization scheme for mixed complementarity problems’, Optimization Methods and Software 5: 123156.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
EEA (European Environment Agency) (2009), ‘Greenhouse gas emission trends and projections in Europe 2009: Tracking progress towards Kyoto targets’, European Environment Agency, Copenhagen.Google Scholar
Energy and Climate Change Committee (2012), Consumption-Based Emissions Reporting: Twelfth Report of Session 2010–12, London: House of Commons, UK Government.Google Scholar
Ghosh, M. and Siddiqui, M.S. (2011), ‘Embodied emissions in international trade: regional dimensions with a focus on Canada’, paper presented at the meetings of the Canadian Economic Association (CEA), 3-5 June, University of Ottawa.Google Scholar
Ghosh, M., Luo, D., Siddiqui, M.S., and Zhu, Y. (2012), ‘Border tax adjustments in the climate policy context: CO2 versus broad-based GHG emission targeting’, Energy Economics 34 (sp 2): S154S167.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goh, G. (2004), ‘The World Trade Organization, Kyoto and energy tax adjustments at the border’, Journal of World Trade 38(3): 395423.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grasso, M. and Roberts, J.T. (2013), ‘A fair compromise to break the climate impasse: a major economies forum approach to emissions reductions budgeting’, The Brookings Institution, Washington, DC.Google Scholar
Helm, D., Hepburn, C., and Ruta, G. (2012), ‘Trade, climate change and the political game theory of border carbon adjustments’, Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy Working Paper No. 92; Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment Working Paper No. 80.Google Scholar
Ismer, R. and Neuhoff, K. (2007), ‘Border tax adjustment: a feasible way to support stringent emission trading’, European Journal of Law and Economics 24: 137164.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kuik, O. and Hofkes, M. (2010), ‘Border adjustment for European emissions trading: competitiveness and carbon leakage’, Energy Policy 38: 17411748.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Le Quéré, C., Raupach, M.R., Canadell, J.G., Marland, G., et al. (2009), ‘Trends in the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide’, Nature Geoscience 2: 831836.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lenzen, M., Wood, R., and Wiedmann, T. (2010), ‘Uncertainty analysis for multi-region input-output models - a case study of the UK's carbon footprint’, Economic Systems Research 22(1): 4363.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Leontief, W.W. (1986), Input-Output Economics, 2nd edn, New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Lockwood, B. and Whalley, J. (2008), ‘Carbon motivated border tax adjustments: old wine in green bottles?’, NBER Working Paper #W14025, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lu, X., Salovaara, J., and McElroy, M.B. (2012), ‘Implications of the recent reductions in natural gas prices for emissions of CO2 from the US power sector’, Environmental Science and Technology 46: 30143021.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Mattoo, A., Subramanian, A., van der Mensbrugghe, D., and He, J. (2009), ‘Reconciling climate change and trade policy’, Peterson Institute Working Paper No. 09-15, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, DC.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McCorriston, S. and Sleldon, I.M. (2005), ‘Market access and WTO border tax adjustments for environmental excise taxes under imperfect competition’, Journal of Public Economic Theory 7(4): 579592.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Narayanan, B.G. and Walmsley, T.L. (eds) (2008), Global Trade, Assistance, and Production: The GTAP 7 Data Base, West Lafayette, IN: Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University.Google Scholar
Pan, J., Phillips, J., and Chen, Y. (2008), ‘China's balance of emissions embodied in trade: approaches to measurement and allocating international responsibility’, Oxford Review of Economic Policy 24(2): 354376.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Peters, G.P. and Hertwich, E.G. (2008a), ‘CO2 embodied in international trade with implications for global climate policy’, Environmental Science and Technology 42(5): 14011407.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Peters, G.P. and Hertwich, E.G. (2008b), ‘Post-Kyoto greenhouse gas inventories: production versus consumption’, Climatic Change 86(1-2): 5166.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Peters, G.P., Minx, J.C., Weber, C.L., and Edenhofer, O. (2011a), ‘Growth in emission transfers via international trade from 1990 to 2008’, PNAS open access edition, [Available at] http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2011/04/19/1006388108.full.pdf+html.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Peters, G.P., Andrew, R., and Lennox, J. (2011b), ‘Constructing an environmentally-extended multi-regional input-output table using the GTAP Database’, Economic Systems Research 23(2): 131152.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Raupach, M.R, Marland, G., Ciais, P., Le Quéré, C., Canadell, J.G., Klepper, G., and Field, C.B. (2007), ‘Global and regional drivers of accelerating CO2 emissions’, Proceedings of the National Academy of Science 104: 1028810293.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Rutherford, T.F. (1999), ‘Applied general equilibrium modeling with MPSGE as a GAMS subsystem: an overview of the modeling framework and syntax’, Computational Economics 14(1-2): 146.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stavins, R. (2008), ‘A meaningful U.S. cap-and-trade system to address climate change‘, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei Working Paper No. 241, Berkeley Electronic Press (bepress), [Available at] http://www.bepress.com/feem/paper241.Google Scholar
Temurshoev, U. (2006), ‘Pollution haven hypothesis or factor endowment hypothesis: theory and empirical examination for the US and China’, CERGE-EI, Prague.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weber, C.L. and Matthews, H.S. (2007), ‘Embodied environmental emissions in U.S. international trade, 1997–2004’, Environmental Science and Technology 41: 48754881.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Weber, C.L. and Peters, G.P. (2009), ‘Climate change policy and international trade: policy considerations in the US’, Energy Policy 37: 432440.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wiedmann, T. (2009), ‘A review of recent multi-regional input-output models used for consumption-based emission and resource accounting’, Ecological Economics 69: 211222.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wiedmann, T., Lenzen, M., and Wood, R. (2008a), ‘Uncertainty analysis of the UK-MRIO model: results from a Monte-Carlo analysis of the UK Multi-Region Input-Output Model (Embedded Carbon Dioxide Emissions Indicator)’, Report to the UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs by Stockholm Environment Institute at the University of York and Centre for Integrated Sustainability Analysis at the University of Sydney, Defra, London, Project Ref.: EV02033, [Available at] http://randd.defra.gov.uk/Document.aspx?Document=EV02033_7332_FRP.pdf Google Scholar
Wiedmann, T., Wood, R., Minx, J., Lenzen, M., and Harris, R. (2008b), ‘Emissions embedded in UK trade: UK-MRIO model results and error estimates’, a paper presented at the International Input--Output Meeting on Managing the Environment, July 9–11, 2008, Seville, Spain.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: PDF

Ghosh and Agarwal Supplementary Material

Appendix

Download Ghosh and Agarwal Supplementary Material(PDF)
PDF 84.8 KB