PS: Political Science & Politics

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The Post-Palin Calculus: The 2012 Republican Veepstakes

Jody C Baumgartner

East Carolina University

Abstract

In this article results are presented from a conditional logit model of vice presidential selection that correctly predicts Mitt Romney selecting Paul Ryan as his vice presidential running mate in 2012. The model, which correctly predicts 14 of the 20 contested major party vice presidential nominations from 1960 through 2008, suggests that media exposure, political experience, having served in the military, age, and gender/racial/ethnic diversity are significant factors in selecting a vice presidential candidate in the modern era.

Jody C Baumgartner is an associate professor in the department of political science at East Carolina University. He can be reached at jodyb@jodyb.net.

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