a1 Department of Social Medicine, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
a2 LIFE Center, Universität Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
a3 Center for Public Mental Health, Gösing a. W., Austria
a4 Department of Public Health, University of Cagliary, Italy
a5 Max Planck Institute for Human Cognitive and Brain Sciences and Day Clinic of Cognitive Neurology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
a6 Department of Medical Sociology and Health Economics, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
Background Early diagnosis of dementia requires knowledge about associated predictors. The aim of this study was to determine the impact of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and impairment in instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) on the time to an incident dementia diagnosis.
Method Data were derived from the Leipzig Longitudinal Study of the Aged (LEILA75+), a population-based study of individuals aged ≥75 years. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to determine time to incident dementia. Cox proportional hazards models were applied to determine the impact of MCI and IADL impairment on the time to incident dementia.
Results In total, 180 (22.0%) of 819 initially dementia-free subjects developed dementia by the end of the study. Mean time to incident dementia was 6.7 years [95% confidence interval (CI) 6.5–6.9]. MCI combined with IADL impairment was associated with a higher conversion rate to dementia, a shorter time to clinically manifest diagnosis and a lower chance of reversibility to cognitive normal. The highest risk for a shorter time to incident dementia was found for amnestic MCI combined with IADL impairment. The mean time to incident dementia was 3.7 years (95% CI 2.9–4.4) and thus half as long as in subjects without MCI and IADL impairment.
Conclusions Subjects with MCI and IADL impairment constitute a high-risk population for future dementia. The consideration of both – MCI and IADL impairment – might help to improve the prediction of dementia.
(Received March 02 2010)
(Revised June 10 2010)
(Accepted June 29 2010)
(Online publication July 29 2010)
c1 Address for correspondence: Dr T. Luck, Public Health Research Unit, Department of Social Medicine, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Philipp-Rosenthal-Str. 55, D-04103 Leipzig, Germany. (Email: firstname.lastname@example.org)