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The Dwelling-Type Choices of Older Canadians and Future Housing Demand: An Investigation Using the Aging and Social Support Survey (GSS16)*

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 August 2010

Thomas Perks*
Affiliation:
University of Lethbridge
Michael Haan
Affiliation:
University of Alberta
*
Correspondence and requests for offprints should be sent to / La correspondance et les demandes de tirés-à-part doivent être adressées à: Thomas Perks, Ph.D. Department of Sociology University of Lethbridge Lethbridge, AB T1K 3M4 (thomas.perks@uleth.ca)

Abstract

Using the 2002 Aging and Social Support Survey (GSS16), multinomial logit regression, and cohort-component projection techniques, this study explored how social support networks, health, and economic characteristics have shaped the residential choices of older Canadians, and predicts how they are likely to do so in the future. It focused on the distribution of 55-to-75-year-olds across three private-dwelling types: general community living, age-restricted housing, and age-restricted housing with nursing care. The analysis shows that social support characteristics are the strongest predictors of dwelling type, meaning that individuals appear to choose their dwellings largely on the basis of their social needs and wants, rather than on their economic or health characteristics. The analysis also indicates an increased age-specific demand for all dwelling types in the future, but with a reduction of over 2 million older Canadians living in dwellings in the general community between 2002 and 2022.

Résumé

Cette étude examina comment les réseaux de soutien socials, la santé, et les caractéristiques économiques ont façonné les choix résidentiels des Canadiens âgés et prédit comment ils sont susceptibles de le faire à l’avenir, en faisant usage de L’Enquête sociale generale: Le soutien social et le vieillissement (ESG), la logique de régression multinomiale et les techniques de projection de la cohorte-composant. Il est axé sur la distribution des personnes âgées de 55-à-75-ans habitant trois types de logement privé: communauté vivant, le logement limité à l’âge et logement limité à l’âge avec soins infirmiers. L’analyse montre que les caractéristiques de soutien social sont les plus forts indicateurs du type de logement, ce qui signifie que les individus apparaissent choisir leurs logements en grande partie sur la base de leurs besoins et désirs sociaux, plutôt que selon leurs caractéristiques économiques ou de santé. L’analyse indique également une demande accrue spécifique à l’âge pour tous les types de logement à l’avenir, mais avec une réduction de plus de 2 millions de Canadiens plus âgés qui vivent dans des logements dans la communauté en générale entre 2002 et 2022.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Canadian Association on Gerontology 2010

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Footnotes

*

We thank Dr. Susan McDaniel for her helpful comments and suggestions on an earlier draft of this article.

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