World Politics

Research Article

Geographic Diffusion and the Transformation of the Postcommunist World

Jeffrey S. Kopsteina1 and David A. Reillya2*

a1 University of Colorado, Boulder

a2 University of Colorado, Boulder

Abstract

Since the collapse of communism the states of postcommunist Europe and Asia have defined for themselves, and have had defined for them, two primary tasks: the construction of viable market economies and the establishment of working institutions of representative democracy. The variation in political and economic outcomes in the postcommunist space makes it, without question, the most diverse “region” in the world. What explains the variation? All of the big winners of postcommunism share the trait of being geographically close to the former border of the noncommunist world. Even controlling for cultural differences, historical legacies, and paths of extrication, the spatial effect remains consistent and strong across the universe of postcommunist cases. This suggests the spatially dependent nature of the diffusion of norms, resources, and institutions that are necessary to the construction of political democracies and market economies in the postcommunist era. The authors develop and adduce evidence for the spatial dependence hypothesis, test it against rival hypotheses, and illustrate the relationships at work through three theoretically important case studies.

Jeffrey S. Kopstein is Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Colorado at Boulder. He is the author of The Politics of Economic Decline in East Germany, 1945–1989 (1997) and Crossing the Divide: European Politics between East and West (forthcoming).

David A. Reilly is a Ph.D. candidate at the University of Colorado at Boulder. His research emphasizes democratization and geopolitics. He is currently writing a dissertation on the conflict behavior of weak states.

* The authors thank Sheri Berman, Valerie Bunce, Christian Davenport, Michael Doyle, Debra Javeline, Herbert Kitschelt, Kate McNamara, Anna Seleny, Jason Wittenberg, and participants in seminars at the University of Colorado at Boulder, Harvard University, Princeton University, and the University of Toronto for comments on earlier drafts of this article. Jeffrey Kopstein acknowledges the Center of International Studies at Princeton University for its material support in the conduct of research for this project.