Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-wq2xx Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-16T13:15:57.826Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

DEFLATIONARY BUBBLES

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 August 2007

WILLEM H. BUITER
Affiliation:
London School of Economics and CEPR
ANNE C. SIBERT
Affiliation:
Birkbeck College, University of London and CEPR

Abstract

In an attempt to clean up an unruly literature, we specify the necessary and sufficient conditions for household optimality in a model where money is the only financial asset and provide the relevant proofs. We use our results to analyze when deflationary bubbles can and cannot exist. Our findings are in contrast to the results in several prominent contributions to the literature. We argue for particular specifications of the no-Ponzi-game restrictions on the representative household's and the government's intertemporal budget constraints in a model with money and bonds. Using the restriction on the household we derive the necessary and sufficient conditions for household optimality. The resulting equilibrium terminal conditions are then used to demonstrate that the existence of bonds does not affect when deflationary bubbles can and cannot occur. This result differs from that in other recent works.

Type
ARTICLES
Copyright
© 2007 Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Azariadis Costas 1993 Intertemporal Macroeconomics. Cambridge, MA: Blackwell.
Benhabib Jess, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, and Martin Uribe 2001 Monetary policy and multiple equilibria. American Economic Review 91, 167186.Google Scholar
Benhabib Jess, Stephanie Shmitt-Grohé, and Martin Uribe 2002a Avoiding liquidity traps. Journal of Political Economy 110, 535563.Google Scholar
Benhabib Jess, Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, and Martin Uribe 2002b Chaotic interest rates. American Economic Review 92, 7278.Google Scholar
Brock W. A. 1974 Money and growth: The case of long run perfect foresight. International Economic Review 15, 750777.Google Scholar
Brock William A. 1975 A simple perfect foresight monetary model. Journal of Monetary Economics 1, 133150.Google Scholar
Brock William A. and Stephen J. Turnovsky, 1981 The analysis of macroeconomic policies in a perfect foresight equilibrium. International Economic Review 22, 179209.Google Scholar
Buiter Willem H. 2003 Helicopter Money: Irredeemable Fiat Money and the Liquidity Trap. NBER Working Paper 10163.Google Scholar
Buiter Willem H. 2005 A small corner of intertemporal public finance. New developments in monetary economics: two ghosts, two eccentricities, a fallacy, a mirage and a mythos. Economic Journal 115, C1C31.Google Scholar
Canzoneri Matthew B., Robert E. Cumby, and Behzad T. Diba 2001 Is the price level determined by the needs of fiscal solvency. American Economic Review 91, 12211238.Google Scholar
Ekeland Ivar and José A. Scheinkman 1986 Transversality conditions for some infinite horizon discrete time optimization problems. Mathematics of Operations Research 11, 216229.Google Scholar
Farmer Roger E. A. (1999) Macroeconomics of Self-Fulfilling Prophecies, 2nd ed. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Friedman Milton 1969 The optimum quantity of money. In Milton Friedman (ed.), The Optimum Quantity of Money and Other Essays, pp. 150. Chicago: Adline Publishing Company.
Froot Kenneth and Maurice Obstfeld 1991 Intrinsic bubbles: the case of stock prices. American Economic Review 81, 11891214.Google Scholar
Gray Jo Anna 1984 Dynamic instability in rational expectations models: an attempt to clarify. International Economic Review 25, 93122.Google Scholar
Hamilton James D. and Marjorie Flavin 1986 On the limitations of government borrowing: A framework for empirical testing. American Economic Review 76, 808819.Google Scholar
Kamihigashi Takashi 2000 A simple proof of Ekeland and Scheinkman's result on the necessity of a transversality condition. Economic Theory 15, 463468.Google Scholar
Ljungqvist Lars and Thomas J. Sargent 2000 Recursive Macroeconomic Theory, 1st ed. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Matsuyama Kiminori 1991 Endogenous price fluctuations in an optimizing model of a monetary economy. Econometrica 59, 16171632.Google Scholar
McCallum Bennett T. 1983 On non-uniqueness in rational expectations models: An attempt at perspective. Journal of Monetary Economics 11, 139168.Google Scholar
McCallum Bennett T. 2001 Indeterminacy, bubbles, and the fiscal theory of price level determination. Journal of Monetary Economics 47, 1930.Google Scholar
Obstfeld Maurice and Kenneth Rogoff 1983 Speculative hyperinflations in maximizing models: Can we rule them out? Journal of Political Economy 91, 675687.Google Scholar
Obstfeld Maurice and Kenneth Rogoff 1986 Ruling out divergent speculative bubbles. Journal of Monetary Economics 17, 346362.Google Scholar
Obstfeld Maurice and Kenneth Rogoff 1996 Foundations of International Macroeconomics. Cambridege, MA: MIT Press.
Smith Gregor W. and Stanley E. Zin 1991 Persistent deficits and the market value of government debt. Journal of Applied Economics 6, 316344.Google Scholar
Stokey Nancy L. and Robert E. Lucas Jr. with Edward Prescott 1989 Recursive Methods in Economic Dynamics. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Trehan Bharat and Carl E. Walsh 1988 Common trends, the government's budget constraint and revenue smoothing. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 12, 425444.Google Scholar
Turnovsky Stephen J. 1997 International Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Weil Philippe 1991 Is money net wealth? xInternational Economic Review 32, 3753.Google Scholar
Weitzman Martin L. 1973 Duality theory for infinite horizon convex models. Management Science 19, 783789.Google Scholar
Wilcox David W. 1989 Sustainability of government budget deficits: Implications of the present value borrowing constraint. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 21, 291306.Google Scholar
Woodford Michael 2003 Interest and Prices: Foundations of a Theory of Monetary Policy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.