Political Science & Politics




ELECTION 2000 COVERAGE

Presidential Vote Models: A Recount 0


Larry M. Bartels a1 and John Zaller a2
a1 Princeton University
a2 University of California, Los Angeles

Was it Al Gore's election to lose? Most political scientists, includeing us, believed that peace and a booming economy would give Gore a significant advantage in the 2000 presidential race. The election outcome—a virtual dead heat in the popular vote—has prompted two reactions that seem to us to be quite wrong-headed.



Footnotes

0 * We thank Adam Berinsky, James Campbell, David Karol, Michael Rothschild, Lynn Vavreck, and Christopher Wlezien for helpful comments on an earlier draft.



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