Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-jr42d Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-19T22:06:16.442Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Tit-for-tat in trade policies: nothing but a fest for vested interests?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 March 2015

BARBARA DLUHOSCH*
Affiliation:
Department of Economics, Helmut-Schmidt-University/University of the Federal Armed Forces Hamburg, Germany

Abstract

Tit-for-tat (TFT) in trade policies is a common practice. It is even enshrined in Article 22.4 of the WTO's dispute settlement process within multilateral trade integration. As such, it is a well-recognized means for promoting cooperation and for enforcing compliance with a common set of rules or institutions. However, there is equally widespread concern that a strategy of TFT degenerates into a prisoner's dilemma, in particular because of special interests ill-using it as a springboard for advancing protectionist measures and beggar-thy-neighbor policies. This paper provides a novel evolutionary perspective on TFT in trade policy regimes in that it tracks the role of special interests by parameterizing their leverage on strategies. Doing so, it provides new insights on the political economy of TFT in international institutions. Accordingly, the set of parameters for which a prisoner's dilemma emerges shrinks rather than widens, even with powerful domestic interest groups sharing a stake in protection.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Millennium Economics Ltd 2015 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Axelrod, R. and Hamilton, W. D. (1981), ‘The Evolution of Cooperation’, Science, 21 (4489): 13901396.Google Scholar
Axelrod, R. and Keohane, R. O. (1985), ‘Achieving Cooperation Under Anarchy: Strategies and Institutions’, World Politics, 38 (1): 226254.Google Scholar
Bagwell, K. and Staiger, R. W. (2010), ‘The World Trade Organization: Theory and Practice’, Annual Review of Economics, 2 (1): 223256.Google Scholar
Bagwell, K. and Staiger, R. W. (2011), ‘What Do Trade Negotiators Negotiate About?’, American Economic Review, 101 (4): 12381273.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baldwin, R. (1987), ‘Politically Realistic Objective Functions and Trade Policy PROFs and Tariffs’, Economic Letters, 24 (3): 287290.Google Scholar
Beshkar, M. (2010), ‘Optimal Remedies in International Trade Agreements’, European Economic Review, 54 (3): 455466.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bhagwati, J. and Panagariya, A. (2002), ‘Wanted: Jubilee 2010 Against Protectionism’, OECD Observer, 231/232 (May), http://www.oecdobserver.org/news/archivestory.php/aid/713/Wanted:/Jubilee/2010.html (accessed 09 Jan 2015).Google Scholar
Boudreaux, D. J. (2011), ‘Do Subsidies Justify Retaliatory Protectionism?’, Economic Affairs, 31 (3): 46.Google Scholar
Bown, C. P. and Pauwelyn, J. (2010), The Law, Economics and Politics of Retaliation in WTO Dispute Settlement, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Boyd, R., Schonmann, R. H., and Vicente, R. (2014), ‘Hunter-Gatherer Population Structure and the Evolution of Contingent Cooperation’, Evolution and Human Behavior, 35 (3): 219227.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cabral, L., Ozbay, E. Y., and Schotter, A. (2014), ‘Intrinsic and Instrumental Reciprocity: An Experimental Study’, Games and Economic Behavior, 87 (C): 100121.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chang, H.-J. (2011), ‘Institutions and Economic Development: Theory, Policy and History’, Journal of Institutional Economics, 7 (4): 473498.Google Scholar
Chaudoin, S. and Urpelainen, J. (forthcoming), ‘When is Good News About Pro-Co-operation Lobbies Good News About Co-operation?’, British Journal of Political Science, First View Article, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0007123413000367 (accessed 09 Jan 2015).Google Scholar
da Conceição-Heldt, E. (2013), ‘Two-Level Games and Trade Cooperation: What Do We Know?’, International Politics, 50 (4): 579599.Google Scholar
Demsetz, H. (1969), ‘Information and Efficiency: Another Viewpoint’, Journal of Law and Economics, 12 (1): 122.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dluhosch, B. and Horgos, D. (2013), ‘(When) Does Tit-for-Tat Diplomacy in Trade Policy Pay Off?’, The World Economy, 36 (2): 155179.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gawande, K., Krishna, P., and Olarreaga, M. (2009), ‘What Governments Maximize and Why: The View From Trade’, International Organization, 63 (3): 491532.Google Scholar
Gomory, R. E. and Baumol, W. (2001), Global Trade and Conflicting National Interests, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Grossman, G. M. and Helpman, E. (1994), ‘Protection for Sale’, American Economic Review, 84 (4): 833850.Google Scholar
Grossman, G. M. and Helpman, E. (1995), ‘Trade Wars and Trade Talks’, Journal of Political Economy, 103 (4): 675708.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Guzman, A. T. (2004), ‘Global Governance and the WTO’, Harvard International Law Journal, 45 (2): 303351.Google Scholar
Hadjiyiannis, C. and İriş, D. (2012), ‘Multilateral Tariff Cooperation Under Fairness and Reciprocity’, Canadian Journal of Economics, 45 (3): 925941.Google Scholar
Hayek, F. A. von [1966] (1978), ‘Dr. Bernard Mandeville’, Proceedings of the British Academy, reprinted in: New Studies in Philosophy, Politics, Economics and History of Ideas, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, pp. 249266.Google Scholar
Hayek, F. A. von (1973), Law, Legislation and Liberty, vol. 1: Rules and Order, London and Henley: Routledge & Kegan Paul.Google Scholar
Hodgson, G. M. (1991), ‘Hayek's Theory of Cultural Evolution: An Evaluation in the Light of Vanberg's Critique’, Economics and Philosophy, 7 (1): 6782.Google Scholar
Hodgson, G. M. (2006), ‘What are Institutions?’, Journal of Economic Issues, XL (1), 125.Google Scholar
Horn, H., Maggi, G., and Staiger, R. W. (2010), ‘Trade Agreements as Endogenously Incomplete Contracts’, American Economic Review, 100 (1): 394419.Google Scholar
Immergut, E. M. (1990), ‘Institutions, Veto Points, and Policy Results: A Comparative Analysis of Health Care’, Journal of Public Policy, 10 (4): 391416.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Irwin, D. A. (1998), ‘The Smoot-Hawley Tariff: A Quantitative Assessment’, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 80 (2): 326334.Google Scholar
Kasper, W., Streit, M. A., and Boettke, P. J. (2012), Institutional Economics: Property, Competition, Policies, Cheltenham and Northampton: Edward Elgar.Google Scholar
Keohane, R. O. (1986), ‘Reciprocity in International Relations’, International Organization, 40 (1): 127.Google Scholar
Kim, M. and Kim, Y.-H. (2013), ‘When Does Coordination for Free Trade Regimes Fail?’, Economic Modelling, 31 (C): 3136.Google Scholar
Kindleberger, C. P. (1986), The World in Depression 1929–1939, revised and enlarged ed., Berkeley and Los Angeles: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Kuhn, S. and Moresi, S. (1995), ‘Pure and Utilitarian Prisoner's Dilemmas’, Economics and Philosophy, 11 (2): 333343.Google Scholar
Lawrence, R. Z. (2003), Crimes and Punishment? An Analysis of Retaliation Under the WTO, Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics.Google Scholar
Ludema, R. D. and Mayda, A. M., (2013), ‘Do Terms-of-Trade Effects Matter for Trade Agreements? Theory and Evidence from WTO Countries’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 128 (4): 18371893.Google Scholar
Magee, C. S. and Magee, S. P. (2008), ‘The United States is a Small Country in World Trade’, Review of International Economics, 16 (5): 9901004.Google Scholar
Maggi, G. and Rodríguez-Clare, A. (2007), ‘A Political-Economy Theory of International Trade Agreements’, American Economic Review, 97 (4): 13741406.Google Scholar
Mansfield, E. D. and Milner, H. V. (2012), Votes, Vetoes, and the Political Economy of International Trade Agreements, Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Martin, A. and Vergote, W. (2008), ‘On the Role of Retaliation in Trade Agreements’, Journal of International Economics, 76 (1): 6177.Google Scholar
Maynard Smith, J. (1976), ‘Evolution and the Theory of Games: In Situations Characterized By Conflict of Interest, the Best Strategy to Adopt Depends on What Others are Doing’, American Scientist, 64 (1), 4145.Google Scholar
Maynard Smith, J. (1982), Evolution and the Theory of Games, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Maynard Smith, J. and Price, G. R. (1973), ‘The Logic of Animal Conflict’, Nature, 246 (5427): 1518.Google Scholar
Milner, H. V. (1992), ‘International Theories of Cooperation Among Nations: Strengths and Weaknesses’, World Politics, 44 (3): 466496.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nowak, M. A. and Sigmund, K. (2005), ‘Evolution of Indirect Reciprocity’, Nature, 437 (7063): 12911298.Google Scholar
Olson, M. (1968), The Logic of Collective Actions: Public Goods and the Theory of Groups, New York: Schocken.Google Scholar
Putnam, R. D. (1988), ‘Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games’, International Organization, 42 (3): 427460.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rapoport, A. and Chammah, A. M. (1965), Prisoner's Dilemma: A Study in Conflict and Cooperation, Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press.Google Scholar
Rhodes, C. (1989), ‘Reciprocity in Trade: The Utility of a Bargaining Strategy’, International Organization, 43 (2): 273299.Google Scholar
Rönnbäck, K. (2015), ‘Interest-Group Lobbying for Free Trade: An Empirical Case Study of International Trade Policy Formation’, Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 24 (2): 281293.Google Scholar
Schelling, T.C. (1960), The Strategy of Conflict, Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Segal, U. and Sobel, J. (2007), ‘Tit for Tat: Foundations of Preferences for Reciprocity in Strategic Settings’, Journal of Economic Theory, 136 (1): 197216.Google Scholar
Skarbek, E. (2013), ‘F.A. Hayek and the Early Foundations of Spontaneous Order’, in Peart, S. and Levy, D. M. (eds.), F.A. Hayek and the Modern Economy, New York: Palgrave Macmillan, pp. 101117.Google Scholar
Stringham, E. P. (2014), ‘Extending the Analysis of Spontaneous Market Order to Governance’, Atlantic Economic Journal, 42 (2): 171180.Google Scholar
The Washington Post (2010), ‘U.S., China Locked in Trade Disputes’, The Washington Post, 2010: Jan. 4th, A02.Google Scholar
Vanberg, V. (1986), ‘Spontaneous Market Order and Social Rules’, Economics and Philosophy, 2 (1): 75100.Google Scholar
Zaggl, M. A. (2014), ‘Eleven Mechanisms for the Evolution of Cooperation’, Journal of Institutional Economics, 10 (2): 197230.CrossRefGoogle Scholar