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The 2010 Elections: Why Did Political Science Forecasts Go Awry?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 April 2011

David W. Brady
Affiliation:
Stanford University
Morris P. Fiorina
Affiliation:
Stanford University
Arjun S. Wilkins
Affiliation:
Stanford University

Extract

In President Obama's words, the Democratic Party experienced a “shellacking” in the 2010 elections. In particular, the net loss of 63 House seats was the biggest midterm loss suffered by a party since 1938—the largest in the lifetimes of approximately 93% of the American population.

Type
Spotlight
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2011

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