Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-42gr6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-15T11:32:20.327Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Influence of Affect on Beliefs, Preferences, and Financial Decisions

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 February 2011

Camelia M. Kuhnen
Affiliation:
Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, 2001 Sheridan Rd., Evanston, IL 60208. c-kuhnen@kellogg.northwestern.edu
Brian Knutson
Affiliation:
Department of Psychology, Stanford University, 470 Jordan Hall, Stanford, CA 94305. knutson@psych.stanford.edu
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

Neuroeconomics research shows that brain areas that generate emotional states also process information about risk, rewards, and punishments, suggesting that emotions influence financial decisions in a predictable and parsimonious way. We find that positive emotional states such as excitement induce people to take risks and to be confident in their ability to evaluate investment options, while negative emotions such as anxiety have the opposite effects. Beliefs are updated so as to maintain a positive emotional state by ignoring information that contradicts individuals’ prior choices. Marketplace features or outcomes of past choices may change emotions and thus influence future financial decisions.

Type
Research Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Michael G. Foster School of Business, University of Washington 2011

References

Acharya, V. V.; Baghai-Wadji, R.; and Subramanian, K.. “Labor Laws and Innovation.” Working Paper, New York University (2009).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Acharya, V. V., and Subramanian, K. V.. “Bankruptcy Codes and Innovation.” Review of Financial Studies, 22 (2009), 49494988.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Akerlof, G. A., and Dickens, W. T.. “The Economic Consequences of Cognitive Dissonance.” American Economic Review, 72 (1982), 307319.Google Scholar
Barber, B. M., and Odean, T.. “Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors.” Journal of Finance, 55 (2000), 773806.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Benartzi, S., and Thaler, R. H.. “Myopic Loss Aversion and the Equity Premium Puzzle.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110 (1995), 7392.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ben-David, I.; Graham, J. R.; and Harvey, C. R.. “Managerial Overconfidence and Corporate Policies.” Working Paper, Duke University (2007).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bernheim, D. B., and Rangel, A.. “Addiction and Cue-Triggered Decision Processes.” American Economic Review, 94 (2004), 15581590.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Bjork, J. M.; Knutson, B.; Fong, G. W.; Caggiano, D. M.; Bennett, S. M.; and Hommer, D. W.. “Incentive-Elicited Brain Activation in Adolescents: Similarities and Differences from Young Adults.” Journal of Neuroscience, 24 (2004), 17931802.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Breiter, H. C.; Aharon, I.; Kahneman, D.; Dale, A.; and Shizgal, P.. “Functional Imaging of Neural Responses to Expectancy and Experience of Monetary Gains and Losses.” Neuron, 30 (2001), 619639.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Caplin, A., and Dean, M.. “Dopamine, Reward Prediction Error, and Economics.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123 (2008), 663701.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Caplin, A., and Leahy, J.. “Psychological Expected Utility Theory and Anticipatory Feelings.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116 (2001), 5579.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Charness, G., and Levin, D.. “When Optimal Choices Feel Wrong: A Laboratory Study of Bayesian Updating, Complexity, and Affect.” American Economic Review, 95 (2005), 13001309.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chua, P.; Krams, M.; Toni, I.; Passingham, R.; and Dolan, R.. “A Functional Anatomy of Anticipatory Anxiety.” NeuroImage, 9 (1999), 563571.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Daw, N. D.; Kakade, S.; and Dayan, P.. “Opponent Interactions between Serotonin and Dopamine.” Neural Networks, 15 (2002), 603616.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Delgado, M. R.; Nystrom, L. E.; Fissell, C.; Noll, D. C.; and Fiez, J. A.. “Tracking the Hemodynamic Responses to Reward and Punishment in the Striatum.” Journal of Neurophysiology, 84 (2000), 30723077.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Ederer, F. P., and Manso, G.. “Is Pay-for-Performance Detrimental to Innovation?” Working Paper, University of California at Los Angeles (2009).Google Scholar
Elster, J.Emotions and Economic Theory.” Journal of Economic Literature, 36 (1998), 4774.Google Scholar
Gervais, S.; Heaton, J. B.; and Odean, T.. “Overconfidence, Investment Policy and Manager Welfare.” Working Paper, Duke University (2005).Google Scholar
Gervais, S., and Odean, T.. “Learning to Be Overconfident.” Review of Financial Studies, 14 (2001), 127.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gilad, D., and Kliger, D.. “Priming the Risk Attitudes of Professionals in Financial Decision Making.” Review of Finance, 12 (2008), 567586.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gneezy, U., and Potters, J.. “An Experiment on Risk Taking and Evaluation Periods.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 112 (1997), 631645.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grinblatt, M., and Keloharju, M.. “Sensation Seeking, Overconfidence, and Trading Activity.” Journal of Finance, 64 (2009), 549578.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hales, J.Directional Preferences, Information Processing, and Investors’ Forecast of Earnings.” Journal of Accounting Research, 45 (2007), 607628.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Heaton, J. B. “Managerial Optimism and Corporate Finance.” Financial Management, 31 (2002), 3345.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hirshleifer, D., and Shumway, T.. “Good Day Sunshine: Stock Returns and the Weather.” Journal of Finance, 58 (2003), 10091032.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kaustia, M., and Knüpfer, S.. “Do Investors Overweight Personal Experience? Evidence from IPO Subscriptions.” Journal of Finance, 63 (2008), 26792702.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kluger, A. N., and DeNisi, A.. “The Effects of Feedback Interventions on Performance: A Historical Review, a Meta-Analysis, and a Preliminary Feedback Intervention Theory.” Psychological Bulletin, 119 (1996), 254284.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Knutson, B.; Adams, C. M.; Fong, G. W.; and Hommer, D.. “Anticipation of Increasing Monetary Reward Selectively Recruits Nucleus Accumbens.” Journal of Neuroscience, 21 (2001), 15.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Knutson, B.; Wimmer, G. E.; Kuhnen, C. M.; and Winkielman, P.. “Nucleus Accumbens Activation Mediates the Influence of Reward Cues on Financial Risk Taking.” NeuroReport, 19 (2008), 509513.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Ko, K. J., and Hansch, O.. “Persistence of Beliefs in an Investment Experiment.”Working Paper, Securities and Exchange Commission (2008).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kuhnen, C. M., and Knutson, B.. “The Neural Basis of Financial Risk Taking.” Neuron, 47 (2005), 763770.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Lo, A. W., and Repin, D. V.. “The Psychophysiology of Real-Time Financial Risk Processing.” Journal of Cognitive Neuroscience, 14 (2002), 323339.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Loewenstein, G. F.; Weber, E. U.; Hsee, C. K.; and Welch, N.. “Risk as Feelings.” Psychological Bulletin, 127 (2001), 267286.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Malmendier, U., and Nagel, S.. “Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk Taking?Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126 (2011), 373416.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Malmendier, U., and Tate, G.. “CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Investment.” Journal of Finance, 60 (2005), 26612700.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Martinez, D.; Slifstein, M.; Broft, A.; Malawi, O.; Hwang, D. R.; Huang, Y.; Cooper, T.; Kegeles, L.; Zarahn, E.; Abi-Dargham, A.; Haber, S. N.; and Laruelle, M.. “Imaging Human Mesolimbic Dopamine Transmission with Positron Emission Tomography. Part II: Amphetamine-Induced Dopamine Release in the Functional Subdivisions of the Striatum.” Journal of Cerebral Blood Flow and Metabolism, 23 (2003), 285300.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Mynatt, C. R.; Doherty, M. E.; and Tweney, R. D.. “Confirmation Bias in a Simulated Research Environment: An Experimental Study of Scientific Inference.” Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology, 29 (1977), 8595.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Paulus, M. P.; Rogalsky, C.; Simmons, A.; Feinstein, J. S.; and Stein, M. B.. “Increased Activation in the Right Insula during Risk-Taking Decision Making Is Related to Harm Avoidance and Neuroticism.” NeuroImage, 19 (2003), 14391448.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Pessiglione, M.; Seymour, B.; Flandin, G.; Dolan, R. J.; and Frith, C. D.. “Dopamine-Dependent Prediction Errors Underpin Reward-Seeking Behavior in Humans.” Nature, 442 (2006), 10421045.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Phillips, L. D., and Edwards, W.. “Conservatism in a Simple Probability Inference Task.” Journal of Experimental Psychology, 72 (1966), 346354.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Preuschoff, K.; Bossaerts, P.; and Quartz, S. R.. “Neural Differentiation of Expected Reward and Risk in Human Subcortical Structures.” Neuron, 51 (2006), 381390.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Saunders, E. M. Jr. “Stock Prices and Wall Street Weather.” American Economic Review, 83 (1993), 13371345.Google Scholar
Schultz, W.Behavioral Dopamine Signals.” TRENDS in Neuroscience, 30 (2007), 203210.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Seymour, B.; O’Doherty, J. P.; Dayan, P.; Koltzenburg, M.; Jones, A. K.; Dolan, R. J.; Friston, K. J.; and Frackowiak, R. S.. “Temporal Difference Models Describe Higher-Order Learning in Humans.” Nature, 429 (2004), 664667.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Simmons, A.; Matthews, S. C.; Stein, M. B.; and Paulus, M. P.. “Anticipation of Emotionally Aversive Visual Stimuli Activates Right Insula.” NeuroReport, 15 (2004), 22612265.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Thaler, R.Toward a Positive Theory of Consumer Choice.” Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 1 (1980), 3960.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vissing-Jorgensen, A.Perspectives on Behavioral Finance: Does ‘Irrationality’ Disappear with Wealth? Evidence from Expectations and Actions.” NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 18 (2003), 139194.CrossRefGoogle Scholar